Jaish K
Manufacturing · SteelData Scientist · Noodle.ai PQAINov 2019 – Apr 2023

Defect Diagnosis & Root Cause Rule Engine

End-to-end AI system diagnosing mill defects and extracting decision-tree rules to guide plant operators and production scheduling — replacing manual recipe tuning with deterministic, transparent guidance.

25–35%

Total Cost of Quality

Reduction achieved

>30%

Defect Rate

Direct drop across mills

>60%

RCA Time

Inspection & root-cause acceleration

// THE PROBLEM

Problem formulation

Defects in rolled steel are influenced by dozens of interacting chemical and thermodynamic variables. Operators historically relied on tribal knowledge and manual correlation to diagnose root causes, leading to slow, inconsistent resolution and costly scrap.

// DATA FOUNDATIONS

Data engineering & ingestion

  • Ingested high-frequency IoT sensor telemetry from casting, hot strip mill, pickling, and cold rolling stages
  • Cleaned and aligned time series from heterogeneous PLC and instrumentation protocols
  • Built feature stores for chemical composition (Si, Mn, C), furnace zones, speeds, and pressures
  • Label engineering from downstream inspection quality outcomes

// MODELING STRATEGY

Mathematical & algorithmic approach

  • Random Forest ensemble for stage-wise defect prediction
  • Neural Networks with Transfer Learning for mechanical property forecasting
  • Decision-Tree rule induction with pruning to extract human-readable IF-THEN recipes
  • Multi-stage mill classification to localize defects to the responsible process stage

// EXPLAINABILITY

Interpretability & governance

  • SHAP Tree Explainer attributions ranking top defect drivers for each prediction
  • Partial Dependence Plots (PDP) to quantify marginal effect of each process variable
  • Optimal vs. alternate rule generation so operators understand trade-offs and constraints

// PRODUCTION

Deployment & integration

  • Batch prediction pipeline feeding production scheduling systems
  • Automated visual rule cards surfaced directly to shop-floor operator dashboards
  • Scorecards tracking cost of quality, defect rate, and RCA velocity over time

// TECH STACK

PythonRandom ForestSHAPPDPTensorFlowScikit-learnPandasSQL